Can Anyone In The Home Office Actually Read?

Just three short days ago Theresa May repeated her boring, rigid, pointless mantra that “Crime is falling”.

On a visit to Portsmouth University to promote her latest cracking idea, using unpaid volunteers to investigate certain types of crime she said

Crime is falling, but crime is changing and increasingly crime is moving online

With the fast pace of change in technology, it’s important police forces are able to keep up with that.  We’ve got a long-standing tradition of specials, people actually coming forward and helping the police. The police are the public, the public are the police.

Three short days ago she still maintained that crime is falling.

I can only assume that neither she nor her advisors have seen any of the following;

From April 2015 – Crime rises for first time in more than a decade

Overall increase in recorded crime reflects surges in violence and sex offences, latest official data from the Office for National Statistics shows.

From July 2015 – First knife crime rise in four years.

From October 2015 – Crime rate to rise by 40% after inclusion of cyber-offences

From November 2015 – Hate crime against disabled people rises 41 per cent in one year

From yesterday – Homicides in England and Wales up 14%

And from today – Violent crime jumps 27 per cent in new figures released by the Office for National Statistics

Not forgetting the best of the lot – The Home Office doesn’t understand the police cuts it is making, watchdog says

There are several more examples over an extended period of time, but the government in general and the Home Office specifically chooses to ignore it all and simply accuse us of crying wolf, well, there’s none so deaf as those who don’t want to hear.


Govt PROVES It Doesn’t Care About Policing

just when you thought you were buckling up for a bumpy ride, the whole thing went off the rails.

During the lifetime of the last, inept, coalition government we saw cutbacks to Policing (amongst other Public Services I hasten to add) on a totally unprecedented and eye-watering scale.

At the last count we have lost something in the order of 17,500 warranted Police Officers with a similar number of Support Staff.

Depending upon where you live or work we have lost a significant number of Police Dogs, vital to the fight against Crime and Public Disorder in my opinion. Does anybody outside government disagree please?  In my own Force area we currently have a grand total of 64 Police Dogs to cover this and another Force area on a resource-sharing scheme. 64 dogs to cover 3 large rural counties plus one other smaller county.  Is that reasonable/feasible/sustainable?

Since at least 2010 #DeadBadgerShire Police have had NO Police Horses at all.

The number of Emergency, and Non-Emergency Calls to Police rises year upon year.

The population of #DeadBadgerShire has increased by more than the National Average, by 8% I believe, in the past few years.

Only the government and Sara Thornton persist with the ridiculous lie that crime has fallen.  Even in Theresa May’s own constituency Recorded Crime generally has risen.  Why would she not know that?

Why do the government and NPCC persist with the lie that crime has fallen?  What is their agenda? We probably know the answer to that, but I’m shocked that NPCC are Aiding and Abetting this villainous Home Secretary.

On one hand we have Theresa May saying that crime is down and on the other hand chastising the Police for fiddling the crime figures. Which is it to be?  She can’t assert that crime is down based on dodgy stats, so where is this coming from?  Not Recorded Crime or ONS data that’s for sure.

Knife Crime, Stabbings etc are Up, but Theresa May insists that we cut back on Stop and Search.

Manpower down, Horses down, Air Support arguably down, Dogs down, Police Stations down, Front Counters down, budgets down.

In the face of all this Crime is Up, the Population is Up, Demand on Police Resources is Up and further, staggeringly severe cuts are in the offing.

The National Audit Office recently claimed that the Home Office don’t  understand the cuts they are making, yet, do they call a halt to reconsider?  No they do not, Carry On Regardless.


In the latest chapter of the Conservative buffoonery Policing minister Mike Penning announced a funding consultation yesterday, in the wake of a “comprehensive” review of the existing formula. He said the new model would use population levels and characteristics, as well as environmental factors, to determine how money is allocated. The intention is to create a “fair, robust and transparent” system. But at least one PCC remained sceptical, saying it reinforced the need to support the PCC’s Fair Funding campaign. “We will not have another chance to achieve fair funding for at least a decade if this revision fails us,” he said. “Over 1,700 have signed the petition to date but we need to make that figure much higher so that the Home Secretary recognises the strength of feeling from local people who are being discriminated against.

The only possible explanation that I can think of is that the government simply DO NOT CARE and are following an agenda that many may suspect but has not been openly declared yet.

Please explain to me how I am wrong.

Maybe, somewhere, somehow this whole criminal, reckless scandal breaches the Human Rights of the British Population at large.

Some VERY Interesting Numbers

I am grateful to one of my readers for sending me the link to the National Audit Office report from last week.  Not the edited highlights that the Press were quick to jump on one way or the other, but the full report.

I’ve only skim read it a couple of times so far, so I haven’t taken it all in yet, but there are some very interesting headline numbers.

£12.5 BILLION – the total amount spent by the 43 Forces of England and Wales 2014-2015 (set that against the £7.2 Billion Gidiot lost on RBS).

25% – the real-terms reduction in funding to PCCs 2011-2016.

36,672 – the total reduction in size of the Police Family (excluding Specials) March 2010-September 2014

£2.5 BILLION – the amount of savings Forces PLANNED to make 2011-2016

35% – real-term increase of Reserves in 39 Forces with comparable data.

3 – number of forces rated as ‘requires improvement’ in their response to the spending review by HM Inspectorate of Constabulary

16,659 – reduction in the number of police officers between March 2010 and September 2014

0% to 47% – variation in the percentage of forces’ savings that came from collaboration in 2014-15

66% – budget increase for HM Inspectorate of Constabulary for 2014-15

Not only are some of those numbers interesting, but some of the headlines and the stories behind them were worth reading too.

Police forces have insufficient understanding of the demand for services.

This is one of the headlines that the Press fed us last week.  The story?

Crime statistics indicate that crime has fallen since 2010-11. However, crime levels are a limited measure of demand because: they do not include all types of crime; forces face increases in more complex risks and threats such as cyber crime and child sexual exploitation, which have historically been under-reported; and because not all demand is crime-related. Forces estimate that crime accounts for only 22% of the number of emergency and priority incidents. However, HMIC estimates that only 10 of 43 forces have a sophisticated understanding of demand. In our view, the College’s recent report on demand provides a limited picture across the service. There are no standards for measuring demand and no comprehensive national picture of demand across policing, including demand potentially caused by funding reductions in other sectors

The Department has insufficient information to determine how much further it can reduce funding without degrading services, or when it may need to support individual forces.

The police sector is considering how to identify information that might give early warning of a force at risk. HMIC provides regular and thematic information on a wide range of policing areas. Forces provide data to HMIC, which it checks and verifies through inspection. However, in our view there is currently insufficient information to identify signs of the sector being unable to deliver services, unclear links between financial reductions and service pressures, and limited data on police productivity. The previous government removed public service agreement (PSA) targets in June 2010 as part of its move towards greater local accountability. Instead, commissioners and forces decide what information to collect and monitor in response to local priorities

This one is quite possibly the most significant in my opinion and it’s the one that seems to have slid under the door with hardly a comment;

Forces will need to transform the service they deliver if they are to meet the financial challenge and address the changing nature of crime

The Department did not have its budget protected during the last Parliament, and forces will face further significant funding reductions. Although we have seen examples of innovation and good financial management in some of our visits, overall many of the savings so far could be characterised as tactical or efficiency savings, rather than service transformation. The Department and HMIC consider that forces can achieve higher levels of savings by increasing collaboration across forces and with other public sector partners. There is information on the total costs and savings of collaboration but limited analysis of the variation in savings achieved to date

Thus opening the door for Regional or National Forces, local mergers and, most definitely, outsourcing/privatisation.

Snuck away in the Summary was Para 17, also unremarked upon by the Press I believe;

Police forces have successfully reduced costs since 2010-11 and crime hasreduced over the same period. But this is an incomplete picture; the available indicatorsof financial stress are limited, and there is insufficient information on service stress.Crime statistics do not capture all crime, and the police do more than deal with crime-related incidents. However, most forces do not have a thorough evidence-based understanding of demand, or what affects their costs. It is therefore difficult for them totransform services intelligently, show how much resource they need, and demonstratethat they are delivering value for money.

Change is coming.

All references to The Department above refer to The Home Office